In this paper we consider the problem of effective forecasting of electricity consumption for multiple objects in automatic mode. We propose an approach to automation of forecasting process, based on CRISP-DM. There were considered methods of computational intelligence for the data preprocessing - filling the gaps and identification of the emission, methods of construction and adjustment of forecasting models. As the computational basis are used connective models, based on neural networks and on constructive neural networks. There was shown the system architecture that implements the mechanisms of computational intelligence, and was presented the results of the tests.
Keywords: consumption of electricity, forecasting automation, computational intelligence, identification of the emission, connective models.
In this paper, the task of achieving the optimal bandwidth telecommunication channels. Focuses on technical aspects of managing bandwidth channels using virtual organization switched channels. Formally defined parameters affecting the guaranteed delivery service. A model and management solution parameters guaranteed delivery of information in the communication channels, based on the methods of the theory of stochastic processes theory and risk analysis.
Keywords: reliability of telecommunication systems, telecommunication systems modeling, stochastic processes, optimal risk management.
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This article presents an agent-based computational model of civil violence. In the model we present variant of civil violence when central authority seeks to suppress decentralized rebellion. This model involves two categories of actors. ‘‘Agents’’ are members of the general population and may be actively rebellious or not. ‘‘Cops’’ are the forces of the central authority, who seek out and arrest actively rebellious agents. Both type of actors are having attributes and behavioral rules.
Keywords: Legitimacy, Grievance, Perceived Hardship, Risk Aversion, Jail, Neighborhood, Vision Radius, Salami Tacktics, Initial Density, Active Agent, Quiet Agent, Civil Violence, Visualization, Tension, Ripness Index.
Methods of an intensification of clearing of the wood areas, including preparation and protection of power lines, oil and gas pipelines, roadside routes, etc.), from trees and bushes are considered. Prospects of use for these purposes of rotor brush cutters are shown.
Keywords: trees, intensification, bushes, wood areas, rotor brush cutter.
Carbothermal synthesis method on substrates of a-Al2O3 thin film with sublayers ZnO: Ga, using copper as a catalyst for the arrays obtained by varying the zinc oxide rod morphology. It was established that growth of the rods occurs direction perpendicular to the substrate using a thin (~ 1 nm) layers of the catalyst. With increasing thickness of the catalyst layer to 3 nm rods growth occurs at an angle to the surface of the rod with a mutual orientation in the plane of the substrate surface at angles that are multiples of 60 °. Also, the selectivity demonstrated growth ZnO rods arrays on portions of the substrate coated with the catalyst.
Keywords: zinc oxide, micro - and nanorods carbothermic synthesis method, film sublayer growth catalyst.
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In the present work we have carried out studies of the processes of growth of zinc oxide nanorods by hydrothermal method on silicon substrates. As sublayer catalyst used growth caused by laser deposition of zinc oxide, various thicknesses. Studied selective growth of nanorods on the microstructure of thin-film sub-layers of zinc oxide obtained by laser deposition. The optimal conditions for the synthesis of: the concentration of Zn (NO3) 2 - 0.4 mol / l, hexamethylenetetramine - 0.4 mol / l, the concentration of NH3 · H2O - 0,01 mol / L -0.01, process time 4:00, the process temperature is 80 ° C. Sublayer thickness of zinc oxide, as shown by experiment, the growth of the rods has no noticeable effect. Oriented arrays of nanorods were obtained up to 500 nm and a diameter of 60-150 nm.
Keywords: zinc oxide nanorods and micro-oriented arrays of nanorods, hydrothermal synthesis method, selective growth, thin film underlayer.
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The paper proposes a mathematical model of inter-symbol distortion compensation data transfer status RAT distillation devices using vector-matrix transformation.
Keywords: mathematical model, the inter-symbol distortion distilleries RAT operator transfer and interaction Preemphasis vector.
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The technique of forming a two-stage system of transportation that allows you to determine the optimal location and number of transfer stations. Feature of the technique is the possibility of adapting the system generated to local conditions investigated territory.
Keywords: municipal solid waste, transportation process, land category, sanitary - protective zone, range of accommodation, critical distance.
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The article presents the rationale of using the method of pulsed laser exposure during the operation of coronary stent delivery system components welding. The author discussed the parameters of pulsed laser radiation, affecting to the quality of welding joint. In view of these parameters performed modeling of pulsed laser welding.
Keywords: stent delivery system, coronary stent, pulsed laser welding, laser welding of polymers